Why is the whole [western] World in Recession?

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Silentbomber
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Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 14, 2008 01:19
I know in Ireland as people stopped buying houses etc. but USA? uk? are the banks to blame?

Joe Redifer
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Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 14, 2008 01:29
Because money is boring so there is less demand for it. 

Eddie_the_Hated
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Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 14, 2008 02:51
  • The Federal Reserve, which slashed interest rates after the dot-com bubble burst, making credit cheap.
  • Home buyers, who took advantage of easy credit to bid up the prices of homes excessively.
  • Congress, which continues to support a mortgage tax deduction that gives consumers a tax incentive to buy more expensive houses.
  • Real estate agents, most of whom work for the sellers rather than the buyers and who earned higher commissions from selling more expensive homes.
  • The Clinton administration, which pushed for less stringent credit and downpayment requirements for working- and middle-class families.
  • Mortgage brokers, who offered less-credit-worthy home buyers subprime, adjustable rate loans with low initial payments, but exploding interest rates.
  • Former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan, who in 2004, near the peak of the housing bubble, encouraged Americans to take out adjustable rate mortgages.
  • Wall Street firms, who paid too little attention to the quality of the risky loans that they bundled into Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS), and issued bonds using those securities as collateral.
  • The Bush administration, which failed to provide needed government oversight of the increasingly dicey mortgage-backed securities market.
  • An obscure accounting rule called mark-to-market, which can have the paradoxical result of making assets be worth less on paper than they are in reality during times of panic.
  • Collective delusion, or a belief on the part of all parties that home prices would keep rising forever, no matter how high or how fast they had already gone up.
    From FactCheck.org. I like it. It's concise.
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    locopuyo
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 14, 2008 03:48
    That's pretty much it.

    A lot of businesses rely on loans.  They do longer term projects that don't play out every month and can't afford to pay their employees without loans. 
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    Nitro
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 14, 2008 08:05
    Tell me about it. I've dropped the price of my house by 60k and it still hasn't generated any interest. I have even offered to pay the stamp duty and the buyers mortgage for two years. It's fucking unbelievable.

    Agent Ghost
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 15, 2008 00:40
    It turns out the US really is the center of the world.  Go figure.


    "This is sad. There's no other word for it. The person who invents a way to punch someone in the face over the Internet will make millions from the demand generated by people like this." Youtube comments

    Joe Redifer
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 16, 2008 01:58
    Didn't the Bush Administration try to create some sort of oversight, but were cockblocked by the Dems since they MUST be against any and all Republican ideas no matter what?

    Eddie_the_Hated
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 16, 2008 02:04
    Yes. 2005. I believe it was a commission to oversee Fannie and Freddie.
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    immortaldanmx
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 16, 2008 03:02
    Eddie_the_Hated


    Yes. 2005. I believe it was a commission to oversee Fannie and Freddie.


    You would be correct. The democrats created the problem, blamed the republicans, and now offer the solution via the muslim turned christian for the sake of an election.
    I dont want to celebrate, I want to sell you hate.

    Joe Redifer
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 16, 2008 03:38
    All religion is stupid.  I don't care what religion someone is because no matter what it is rooted in idiocy.

    Eddie_the_Hated
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 16, 2008 15:54
    I couldn't give two shits about his religion either. If he supports policies I'm in favor of, he could be a LaVeyan Satanist for all I care.

    All politics aside, you'd think that if Obama was a closet muslim, he'd choose a congregation a little less inflammatory than Trinity United Church of Christ.
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    immortaldanmx
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 17, 2008 10:26
    Im not saying I care about his religion, Im saying I dont trust someone who can go from Islam to an anti-white, hate group sect of Christianity.
    I dont want to celebrate, I want to sell you hate.

    Agent Ghost
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 17, 2008 11:54
    I don't hate muslims but I hate Islam.  They're trying to bring Sharia law in Britain...

    http://uk.youtube.com/watch?v=ox2-Wun2dIg

    Fucking insane!
    "This is sad. There's no other word for it. The person who invents a way to punch someone in the face over the Internet will make millions from the demand generated by people like this." Youtube comments

    immortaldanmx
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 17, 2008 12:08
    Agent Ghost


    I don't hate muslims but I hate Islam.  They're trying to bring Sharia law in Britain...

    http://uk.youtube.com/watch?v=ox2-Wun2dIg

    Fucking insane!


    Thats my view as well. Arabic people are fine, people who practice Islam are ignorant and/or violent.
    I dont want to celebrate, I want to sell you hate.

    Agent Ghost
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 17, 2008 12:19
    I don't have a problem with violence but the ideas are just so primitive and stupid.  Islam is where Christianity was 1500 years ago.  The idea of having Sharia courts in London is nucking futs!  So much for human rights. 
    "This is sad. There's no other word for it. The person who invents a way to punch someone in the face over the Internet will make millions from the demand generated by people like this." Youtube comments

    immortaldanmx
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 17, 2008 12:28
    Agent Ghost


    I don't have a problem with violence but the ideas are just so primitive and stupid.  Islam is where Christianity was 1500 years ago.  The idea of having Sharia courts in London is nucking futs!  So much for human rights. 


    Its not so much the violence, its the violence without gain, and typically violence with their own loss. Thats stupid, from a religious, secular, and species standpoint.
    I dont want to celebrate, I want to sell you hate.

    choupolo
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 17, 2008 23:15

    Arabic people are fine, people who practice Islam are ignorant and/or violent.


    Thats a lot of ignorant and/or violent people...including me apparently.  Thanks Dan.


    As far as this crunchy credit is concerned, I'm no economist, but I dont think the world economy will ever be balanced.  Its strange because theres more than enough resources out there for everyone, so someone must have it stashed away somewhere!
    <message edited by choupolo on Oct 17, 2008 23:18>

    Nitro
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 20, 2008 08:51
    The problem isn't Islam or the hundreds upon hundreds of millions of practicing Muslims in the world, ...it's the comparatively small number of people using Islam as a tool to preach hatred and further their own agenda.

    emofag
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 23, 2008 06:13
    The most obvious effect I personally experienced firsthand is the ridiculous inflation of house prices.

    In around 2003 my friends, relatives, etc. were buying brand new houses for 150-200k, which was about the median range here at that time . In 2004/2005 most of them sold those houses for 400k+, I thought it was bullshit that people were just making up the #s, no way a house can more than double its value in a year, untill I saw my parents actually sell a 150k house for 450k, I was there seeing the transaction, couldn't believe something like that was actually possible.

    So that's why we're fucked.

    immortaldanmx
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 23, 2008 09:41
    emofag


    The most obvious effect I personally experienced firsthand is the ridiculous inflation of house prices.

    In around 2003 my friends, relatives, etc. were buying brand new houses for 150-200k, which was about the median range here at that time . In 2004/2005 most of them sold those houses for 400k+, I thought it was bullshit that people were just making up the #s, no way a house can more than double its value in a year, untill I saw my parents actually sell a 150k house for 450k, I was there seeing the transaction, couldn't believe something like that was actually possible.

    So that's why we're fucked.


    And we have a winner!

    Speculation and lack of any true standard value.
    I dont want to celebrate, I want to sell you hate.

    alijay034
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 23, 2008 11:12
    Someone might want to change the topic heading to 'Why the World is in recession'. As China are now claiming they are in recession, why you might ask...well a toy factory had to close putting somewhere in the region of 1000 people onto unemployment...it must be bad if that's happening in China.

    As for Emofag's house prices doubling in a year, I would have thought that might have been a bit slow, as in the height of the property boom in the UK in the early to mid 90's house prices were almost everywhere doubling in 6 months.
    <message edited by alijay034 on Oct 23, 2008 11:14>

    Eddie_the_Hated
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 26, 2008 03:35
    2.39 gasoline! Go repression go!

    They've trimmed oil production by 1.5 million barrels (daily?) though, so it'll peter out soon enough, via speculation or natural market recovery.
    <message edited by Eddie_the_Hated on Oct 26, 2008 03:36>
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    Eddie_the_Hated
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 26, 2008 03:44

    "I'll wager sixty finest English pence that you defeat Big Sister in the end by shagging her to death."

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    Agent Ghost
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 26, 2008 04:18
    With Opec having emergency meettings to cut the supply it won't be too long before we see things bounce back up.
    "This is sad. There's no other word for it. The person who invents a way to punch someone in the face over the Internet will make millions from the demand generated by people like this." Youtube comments

    emofag
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 27, 2008 03:11
    Hmmm, when gas is "cheap" it's always more expensive here, when it's "expensive" it's cheaper here, wtf.

    Eddie_the_Hated
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 29, 2008 16:17

    With Opec having emergency meettings to cut the supply it won't be too long before we see things bounce back up.

    Y'know, I was inclined to agree, but I'm suprised it hasn't hit sooner. It's dipped down to $2.18 in the last few days where I live. There's a gas station a few miles north of me that's running it for $2.10, with no signs of slowing down.

    What's our take on this Kikizo? Speculation, OPEC, or good 'ol supply and demand?
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    immortaldanmx
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    Re:Why is the whole [western] World in Recession? - Oct 29, 2008 20:32
    Eddie_the_Hated



    With Opec having emergency meettings to cut the supply it won't be too long before we see things bounce back up.

    Y'know, I was inclined to agree, but I'm suprised it hasn't hit sooner. It's dipped down to $2.18 in the last few days where I live. There's a gas station a few miles north of me that's running it for $2.10, with no signs of slowing down.

    What's our take on this Kikizo? Speculation, OPEC, or good 'ol supply and demand?


    Right now it's supply and demand. But, as emofag said, it'll change soon.
    I dont want to celebrate, I want to sell you hate.